Today’s Chanakya projects BJP landslide in Bengal, TMC pushed to 100 seats

According to the projection released on April 30, the BJP is expected to cross the 190-seat mark, while the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) may be reduced to around 100 seats, suggesting a major change in the state’s electoral dynamics.

Today’s Chanakya’s estimate stands out for projecting a substantial consolidation of votes in favour of the BJP.

The pollster indicated that the party could secure close to 48 percent vote share, reflecting a strong shift among voters.

Analysts associated with the survey suggested that undecided and floating voters appeared to have moved decisively towards the BJP, creating a sizeable vote share gap that could translate into a large seat advantage.

While Today’s Chanakya presented one of the most expansive projections, other polling agencies have also indicated a lead for the BJP, though with varying margins.

Across surveys, a common pattern has been the BJP gaining ground in both urban and rural segments.

Mamata rejects exit poll projections

Reacting to the projections, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee dismissed the exit polls and questioned their credibility.

She alleged that the figures were influenced by political interests and described them as misleading.

In a video message, Banerjee expressed confidence that the Trinamool Congress would return to power with a strong mandate, stating that the party would cross 226 seats in the Assembly.

She also acknowledged voter participation and highlighted the overall turnout across polling phases, which stood at 92.67 percent.

Senior leaders of the Trinamool Congress maintained that their internal assessments differ from the exit poll projections.

Party leaders indicated that welfare initiatives and voter outreach programmes remain central to their expectations of securing another term.

Despite varying forecasts, the exit polls have intensified the political contest, with competing claims emerging ahead of the official results.

With polling concluded, attention now shifts to the counting of votes, which will determine on Monday (May 4) whether the projections align with the final results.