Exit polls predict NDA landslide in Bihar; Jan Suraaj struggles to make a mark

While the Mahagathbandhan is expected to trail far behind, Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj, contesting its first election, may not win even a single seat.

According to Matrize, the NDA is projected to win 147–167 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan may secure 70–90, and Jan Suraaj up to 2 seats.

JVC predicted 135–150 seats for the NDA, 88–103 for the Mahagathbandhan, and 0–1 for Jan Suraaj.

Meanwhile, Chanakya Strategies estimated the NDA at 130–138, the Mahagathbandhan at 100–108, and Jan Suraaj around 0–3.

TIF Research allocated 145–163 seats to the NDA, 76–95 to the Mahagathbandhan, and none to Jan Suraaj.

P-Marq forecasted 142–162 for the NDA, 80–98 for the Mahagathbandhan, and 1–4 for Jan Suraaj.

People’s Insight has assigned the NDA a score of 133–148, the Mahagathbandhan a score of 87–102, and Jan Suraaj a score between 0 and 2.

Dainik Bhaskar’s survey suggested 145–160 for the NDA, 73–91 for the Mahagathbandhan, and 0–3 for Jan Suraaj.

DV Research estimateed 137–152 for the NDA, 83–98 for the Mahagathbandhan, and 2–4 for Jan Suraaj.

Finally, People’s Pulse predicted 133–159 seats for the NDA, 75–101 for the Mahagathbandhan, and 0–5 for Jan Suraaj.

All projections give the NDA a comfortable lead, suggesting a clear majority well above the 122-seat halfway mark in the 243-member Bihar assembly.

Bihar recorded its highest-ever voter turnout in this election- over 67.14 percent in the second phase and more than 65% in the first.

In 2020, Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United) had slumped to 43 seats, largely due to a rebellion led by Chirag Paswan.

This time, Paswan’s rebranded Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) has rejoined the NDA fold as a junior partner, potentially consolidating the alliance’s vote base.

Both the JD(U) and the BJP have contested 101 seats each in the 243-member Bihar assembly. The counting of votes will take place on November 14.