Exit polls predict BJP’s return in Delhi after 27 years, setback for AAP

The projection indicates a significant setback for Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP, aiming for a third consecutive term following its near-total victories in 2015 and 2020.

A party must win at least 36 seats to secure a majority in the 70-seat Delhi Assembly.

The BJP last held power in December 1998 before the Congress won the elections, leading to Sheila Dikshit's tenure as Delhi chief minister for three consecutive terms.

The Congress, which has struggled in Delhi since the Sheila Dikshit era, is expected to win no more than 1–2 seats, as per the best estimates by pollsters.

However, past elections have demonstrated that exit polls can be unreliable, and the projections should be taken with caution.

An average of four exit polls indicates that the BJP could secure 42 seats, comfortably crossing the halfway mark, while AAP may drop to just 25 seats.

PMarq has forecasted 39–49 seats for the BJP and 21–31 for AAP.

Times Now JVC predicts 39–45 seats for the BJP and 22–31 for AAP.

People's Pulse has given the BJP the highest estimate of 51–60 seats, while forecasting 10–19 for AAP.       

Matrize is the only pollster predicting a close contest, estimating 35–40 seats for the BJP and 32–37 for AAP.

What do exit polls say?

ABP Matrize

AAP — 32-37 seats

BJP — 35-40 seats

Congress — 0-1 seat

Peoples Pulse

BJP: 48.5 percent – 52.5 percent

AAP: 36.5 percent – 40.5 percent

Congress: 6.5 per cent – 8.5 percent

P MARQ

BJP: 39-49 seats

AAP: 21-31 seats

Congress: 0-1 seats

Chanakya’s Strategy

BJP: 39-44

AAP: 25-28

Congress: 2-3

What are exit polls?

Exit polls are surveys conducted immediately after voters cast their ballots to estimate election results based on their responses. However, they are not official results and should not be treated as definitive, as the final outcomes may vary once votes are officially counted and declared.